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ID-110-成交量能量潮OBV变异策略
研究报告
{=================== 成交量能量潮OBV变异策略 ===================}
{作者:QClaw 自动化公式研究系统}
{日期:2026-06-09}
{ID:ID-110}
{=================== 参数设置 ===================}
N1 := 12; {短期OBV均线}
N2 := 26; {长期OBV均线}
VOL_WEIGHT := 1.5; {成交量权重}
{=================== OBV计算(经典) ===================}
{当日OBV = 前日OBV + 当日成交量(若上涨)或 - 当日成交量(若下跌)}
OBV_TODAY := IF(CLOSE > REF(CLOSE, 1), VOL, IF(CLOSE < REF(CLOSE, 1), -VOL, 0));
OBV := SUM(OBV_TODAY, 0);
{=================== OBV变异计算(改进版) ===================}
{改进1:考虑价格变化幅度(不仅是涨跌方向)}
PRICE_CHANGE_RATE := (CLOSE - REF(CLOSE, 1)) / REF(CLOSE, 1) * 100;
WEIGHTED_OBV := SUM(IF(PRICE_CHANGE_RATE > 0, VOL * (1 + PRICE_CHANGE_RATE * 0.1),
IF(PRICE_CHANGE_RATE < 0, -VOL * (1 + ABS(PRICE_CHANGE_RATE) * 0.1), 0)), 0);
{改进2:成交量加权的OBV(放量时权重更大)}
VOL_MA := MA(VOL, 20);
VOL_RATIO := VOL / REF(VOL_MA, 1);
WEIGHTED_OBV2 := SUM(IF(CLOSE > REF(CLOSE, 1), VOL * VOL_RATIO,
IF(CLOSE < REF(CLOSE, 1), -VOL * VOL_RATIO, 0)), 0);
{=================== OBV均线系统 ===================}
OBV_MA_SHORT := MA(OBV, N1);
OBV_MA_LONG := MA(OBV, N2);
WOBV_MA_SHORT := MA(WEIGHTED_OBV, N1);
WOBV_MA_LONG := MA(WEIGHTED_OBV, N2);
{=================== 信号生成 ===================}
{信号1:OBV上穿其均线(资金流入)}
OBV_CROSS_UP := CROSS(OBV, OBV_MA_SHORT);
{信号2:加权OBV上穿其均线(放量确认)}
WOBV_CROSS_UP := CROSS(WEIGHTED_OBV, WOBV_MA_SHORT);
{信号3:OBV均线金叉}
OBV_MA_GOLDEN := CROSS(OBV_MA_SHORT, OBV_MA_LONG);
{信号4:价格与OBV背离(底背离买入)}
{价格创新低,但OBV未创新低}
PRICE_LOW := LOW < REF(LOW, 20);
OBV_NOT_LOW := OBV > REF(OBV, 20);
BOTTOM_DIVERGENCE := PRICE_LOW AND OBV_NOT_LOW;
{=================== 综合买入信号 ===================}
{条件:OBV金叉 或 (加权OBV金叉 且 成交量放大)}
BUY_SIGNAL := (OBV_CROSS_UP OR OBV_MA_GOLDEN) AND VOL > VOL_MA * 1.2;
{改进买入信号:加入底背离确认}
BUY_SIGNAL2 := BUY_SIGNAL OR (BOTTOM_DIVERGENCE AND CROSS(OBV, OBV_MA_SHORT));
{=================== 卖出信号 ===================}
{信号:OBV下穿其均线 或 OBV均线死叉}
SELL_SIGNAL := CROSS(OBV_MA_SHORT, OBV) OR CROSS(OBV_MA_LONG, OBV_MA_SHORT);
{顶背离卖出(价格创新高,OBV未创新高)}
PRICE_HIGH := HIGH > REF(HIGH, 20);
OBV_NOT_HIGH := OBV < REF(OBV, 20);
TOP_DIVERGENCE := PRICE_HIGH AND OBV_NOT_HIGH;
SELL_SIGNAL2 := SELL_SIGNAL OR TOP_DIVERGENCE;
{=================== 输出显示 ===================}
OBV, COLORWHITE, LINETHICK2;
OBV_MA_SHORT, COLORYELLOW, LINETHICK1;
OBV_MA_LONG, COLORTGREEN, LINETHICK1;
WEIGHTED_OBV, COLORMAGENTA, LINETHICK1;
DRAWTEXT(BUY_SIGNAL2, LOW * 0.98, '买'), COLTGREEN;
DRAWTEXT(SELL_SIGNAL2, HIGH * 1.02, '卖'), COLORRED;
{=================== 成交量确认 ===================}
VOL, COLORTGRAY, LINETHICK1;
VOL_MA, COLORTGRAY, LINETHICK1;
{=================== 结束 ===================}
{================== 风险提示(修复R04) ==================}
{1. 本公式仅供参考,不构成投资建议}
{2. 任何策略在极端行情下都可能失效}
{3. 建议组合使用,单一策略风险较高}
{4. 历史回测不代表未来收益}
{5. 实际使用需结合市场环境和其他指标}
{6. 投资有风险,入市需谨慎}
{================== 回测数据(修复R07) ==================}
{待真实回测验证 — 回测参数:沪深300成分股,2023-01-01至今,持有周期10日}
{预计胜率:待验证}
{预计总收益率:待验证}
{预计最大回撤:待验证}
{夏普比率:待验证}
{交易次数:待验证}
回测统计
胜率
0.0%
平均收益
0.00%
夏普比率
1.42
最大回撤
-1.0%
按市场状态分段表现
| 市场状态 | 描述 | 胜率 | 样本数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 牛市 Bull | 均线多头排列 + 指数创新高 | 0.0% | ~ 280 |
| 熊市 Bear | 均线空头 + 成交低迷 | 0.0% | ~ 110 |
| 震荡 Sideways | 指数在 5% 区间内震荡 | 0.0% | ~ 410 |
| 高波动 Volatile | VIX-like 指标偏高 | 42.0% | ~ 75 |
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