#20427
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ID-50-PSY情绪反转策略
研究报告
{心理线PSY情绪反转策略}
{ID: 50}
{作者: QClaw}
{日期: 2026-06-08}
{=== 参数设置 ===}
N := 12; {PSY计算周期}
M := 6; {PSY移动平均周期}
OVERBOUGHT := 75; {超买阈值}
OVERSOLD := 25; {超卖阈值}
{=== 计算PSY指标 ===}
{PSY = N周期内上涨天数 / N * 100}
UP_DAY := CLOSE > REF(CLOSE, 1);
PSY := SUM(UP_DAY, N) / N * 100;
{PSY的M日移动平均}
PSY_MA := MA(PSY, M);
{=== 交易信号 ===}
{买入条件: PSY从下方穿越超卖线(25) - 情绪极度悲观后的反转}
BUY_SIGNAL := CROSS(PSY, OVERSOLD) AND PSY_MA < 50;
{卖出条件: PSY从上方穿越超买线(75) - 情绪极度乐观后的反转}
SELL_SIGNAL := CROSS(OVERBOUGHT, PSY) AND PSY_MA > 50;
{=== 增强信号(可选) ===}
{买入确认: PSY上穿其均线 且 处于低位}
BUY_CONFIRM := CROSS(PSY, PSY_MA) AND PSY < 40;
{卖出确认: PSY下穿其均线 且 处于高位}
SELL_CONFIRM := CROSS(PSY_MA, PSY) AND PSY > 60;
{=== 输出信号 ===}
BUY: BUY_SIGNAL OR BUY_CONFIRM;
SELL: SELL_SIGNAL OR SELL_CONFIRM;
{=== 图形显示 ===}
DRAWTEXT(BUY, LOW, '买'), COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT(SELL, HIGH, '卖'), COLORGREEN;
PSY, COLORRED, LINETHICK2;
PSY_MA, COLORBLUE, LINETHICK2;
OVERSOLD, COLORGREEN, LINETHICK1;
OVERBOUGHT, COLORGREEN, LINETHICK1;
50, COLORGRAY, LINETHICK1;
{=== 风险提示 ===}
{本公式仅供参考,不构成投资建议,请谨慎使用}
{================== 回测数据(修复R07) ==================}
{待真实回测验证 — 回测参数:沪深300成分股,2023-01-01至今,持有周期10日}
{预计胜率:待验证}
{预计总收益率:待验证}
{预计最大回撤:待验证}
{夏普比率:待验证}
{交易次数:待验证}
回测统计
胜率
0.0%
平均收益
0.00%
夏普比率
待验证
最大回撤
-1.0%
按市场状态分段表现
| 市场状态 | 胜率 | 样本数 |
|---|---|---|
| 牛市 | 0.0% | — |
| 熊市 | 0.0% | — |
| 震荡 | 0.0% | — |
| 高波动 | 0.0% | — |